Unexpected events during survey design and trust in the police: a systematic review

Christof Nagel; Amy E. Nivette

doi:10.1007/s11292-022-09508-y

Unexpected events during survey design and trust in the police: a systematic review

Christof Nagel^*
, Amy E. Nivette

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Review article › peer-review

Abstract

Objectives: The current review has two aims: (1) to synthesize the impact of unexpected events on trust in police across different contexts and types of events, and (2) to evaluate the methodological characteristics of each study with attention to the assumptions for causal inference. Methods: We conducted a pre-registered narrative systematic review on 12 independent studies. Results: Studies closely adhering to causal inference assumption checks (i.e., excludability and ignorability) find significant changes in trust in police following incidents of police (non) violence and protest. Still, excludability is assessed and addressed less rigorously than ignorability in the included studies. Conclusion: Regarding the procedural justice framework, this provides some causal evidence that vicarious (positive and negative) experiences can shape short-term assessments of public trust in police. We furthermore highlight issues related to design and power, statistical conclusion validity, and the evaluation of assumptions to detect threats to internal validity.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	891–917
Number of pages	27
Journal	Journal of Experimental Criminology
Volume	19
Issue number	4
Early online date	15 Jun 2022
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/s11292-022-09508-y
Publication status	Published - 2023

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
This research was supported by the Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (NWO) Talent Grant (grant number: VI.Vidi.191.135).

Publisher Copyright:
© 2022, The Author(s).

Funding

This research was supported by the Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (NWO) Talent Grant (grant number: VI.Vidi.191.135).

Funders	Funder number
Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek
Aard- en Levenswetenschappen, Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek	VI.Vidi.191.135

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

SDG 16 Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions

Keywords

Causal inference
Trust in police
Unexpected event
Ignorability
Excludability

Access to Document

10.1007/s11292-022-09508-yLicence: CC BY

s11292-022-09508-yFinal published version, 896 KBLicence: CC BY

Cite this

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title = "Unexpected events during survey design and trust in the police: a systematic review",

abstract = "Objectives: The current review has two aims: (1) to synthesize the impact of unexpected events on trust in police across different contexts and types of events, and (2) to evaluate the methodological characteristics of each study with attention to the assumptions for causal inference. Methods: We conducted a pre-registered narrative systematic review on 12 independent studies. Results: Studies closely adhering to causal inference assumption checks (i.e., excludability and ignorability) find significant changes in trust in police following incidents of police (non) violence and protest. Still, excludability is assessed and addressed less rigorously than ignorability in the included studies. Conclusion: Regarding the procedural justice framework, this provides some causal evidence that vicarious (positive and negative) experiences can shape short-term assessments of public trust in police. We furthermore highlight issues related to design and power, statistical conclusion validity, and the evaluation of assumptions to detect threats to internal validity.",

keywords = "Causal inference, Trust in police, Unexpected event, Ignorability, Excludability",

author = "Christof Nagel and Nivette, \{Amy E.\}",

note = "Funding Information: This research was supported by the Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (NWO) Talent Grant (grant number: VI.Vidi.191.135). Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2022, The Author(s).",

year = "2023",

doi = "10.1007/s11292-022-09508-y",

language = "English",

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T1 - Unexpected events during survey design and trust in the police: a systematic review

AU - Nagel, Christof

AU - Nivette, Amy E.

N1 - Funding Information: This research was supported by the Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (NWO) Talent Grant (grant number: VI.Vidi.191.135). Publisher Copyright: © 2022, The Author(s).

PY - 2023

Y1 - 2023

N2 - Objectives: The current review has two aims: (1) to synthesize the impact of unexpected events on trust in police across different contexts and types of events, and (2) to evaluate the methodological characteristics of each study with attention to the assumptions for causal inference. Methods: We conducted a pre-registered narrative systematic review on 12 independent studies. Results: Studies closely adhering to causal inference assumption checks (i.e., excludability and ignorability) find significant changes in trust in police following incidents of police (non) violence and protest. Still, excludability is assessed and addressed less rigorously than ignorability in the included studies. Conclusion: Regarding the procedural justice framework, this provides some causal evidence that vicarious (positive and negative) experiences can shape short-term assessments of public trust in police. We furthermore highlight issues related to design and power, statistical conclusion validity, and the evaluation of assumptions to detect threats to internal validity.

AB - Objectives: The current review has two aims: (1) to synthesize the impact of unexpected events on trust in police across different contexts and types of events, and (2) to evaluate the methodological characteristics of each study with attention to the assumptions for causal inference. Methods: We conducted a pre-registered narrative systematic review on 12 independent studies. Results: Studies closely adhering to causal inference assumption checks (i.e., excludability and ignorability) find significant changes in trust in police following incidents of police (non) violence and protest. Still, excludability is assessed and addressed less rigorously than ignorability in the included studies. Conclusion: Regarding the procedural justice framework, this provides some causal evidence that vicarious (positive and negative) experiences can shape short-term assessments of public trust in police. We furthermore highlight issues related to design and power, statistical conclusion validity, and the evaluation of assumptions to detect threats to internal validity.

KW - Causal inference

KW - Trust in police

KW - Unexpected event

KW - Ignorability

KW - Excludability

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DO - 10.1007/s11292-022-09508-y

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ER -

Unexpected events during survey design and trust in the police: a systematic review

Abstract

Bibliographical note

Funding

UN SDGs

Keywords

Access to Document

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Cite this