Translating Global Integrated Assessment Model Output into Lifestyle Change Pathways at the Country and Household Level

Clare Hanmer; Charlie Wilson; Oreane Y. Edelenbosch; Detlef P. van Vuuren

doi:10.3390/en15051650

Translating Global Integrated Assessment Model Output into Lifestyle Change Pathways at the Country and Household Level

Clare Hanmer^*
, Charlie Wilson
, Oreane Y. Edelenbosch
, Detlef P. van Vuuren

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Academic › peer-review

Abstract

Countries’ emission reduction commitments under the Paris Agreement have significant implications for lifestyles. National planning to meet emission targets is based on modelling and analysis specific to individual countries, whereas global integrated assessment models provide scenario projections in a consistent framework but with less granular output. We contribute a novel methodology for translating global scenarios into lifestyle implications at the national and household levels, which is generalisable to any service or country and versatile to work with any model or scenario. Our 5Ds method post-processes Integrated Assessment Model projections of sectoral energy demand for the global region to derive energy-service-specific lifestyle change at the household level. We illustrate the methodology for two energy services (mobility, heating) in two countries (UK, Sweden), showing how effort to reach zero carbon targets varies between countries and households. Our method creates an analytical bridge between global model output and information that can be used at national and local levels, making clear the lifestyle implications of climate targets.

Original language	English
Article number	1650
Pages (from-to)	1-31
Journal	Energies
Volume	15
Issue number	5
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.3390/en15051650
Publication status	Published - Mar 2022

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
Funding: This research was funded by the CAST Centre for Climate Change and Social Transformations (UK ESRC Grant ES/S012257/1), with additional funding from the Energy Demand changes Induced by Technological and Social innovations (EDITS) initiative coordinated by RITE, the Research Institute of Innovative Technology for the Earth (Japan), and IIASA, the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) and funded by the Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry (METI) in Japan. D.P.v.V. and O.Y.E. thank the KR foundation for funding the IMAGE-Lifystyle project, contributing to the paper. The APC was funded by IRENA.

Publisher Copyright:
© 2022 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.

Funding

Funding: This research was funded by the CAST Centre for Climate Change and Social Transformations (UK ESRC Grant ES/S012257/1), with additional funding from the Energy Demand changes Induced by Technological and Social innovations (EDITS) initiative coordinated by RITE, the Research Institute of Innovative Technology for the Earth (Japan), and IIASA, the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) and funded by the Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry (METI) in Japan. D.P.v.V. and O.Y.E. thank the KR foundation for funding the IMAGE-Lifystyle project, contributing to the paper. The APC was funded by IRENA.

Keywords

Climate change mitigation
Integrated assessment
Lifestyle
LTES
Scenarios

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

Access to Document

10.3390/en15051650Licence: CC BY

energies-15-01650Final published version, 3.46 MBLicence: CC BY

Cite this

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title = "Translating Global Integrated Assessment Model Output into Lifestyle Change Pathways at the Country and Household Level",

abstract = "Countries{\textquoteright} emission reduction commitments under the Paris Agreement have significant implications for lifestyles. National planning to meet emission targets is based on modelling and analysis specific to individual countries, whereas global integrated assessment models provide scenario projections in a consistent framework but with less granular output. We contribute a novel methodology for translating global scenarios into lifestyle implications at the national and household levels, which is generalisable to any service or country and versatile to work with any model or scenario. Our 5Ds method post-processes Integrated Assessment Model projections of sectoral energy demand for the global region to derive energy-service-specific lifestyle change at the household level. We illustrate the methodology for two energy services (mobility, heating) in two countries (UK, Sweden), showing how effort to reach zero carbon targets varies between countries and households. Our method creates an analytical bridge between global model output and information that can be used at national and local levels, making clear the lifestyle implications of climate targets.",

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note = "Funding Information: Funding: This research was funded by the CAST Centre for Climate Change and Social Transformations (UK ESRC Grant ES/S012257/1), with additional funding from the Energy Demand changes Induced by Technological and Social innovations (EDITS) initiative coordinated by RITE, the Research Institute of Innovative Technology for the Earth (Japan), and IIASA, the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) and funded by the Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry (METI) in Japan. D.P.v.V. and O.Y.E. thank the KR foundation for funding the IMAGE-Lifystyle project, contributing to the paper. The APC was funded by IRENA. Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2022 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.",

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N1 - Funding Information: Funding: This research was funded by the CAST Centre for Climate Change and Social Transformations (UK ESRC Grant ES/S012257/1), with additional funding from the Energy Demand changes Induced by Technological and Social innovations (EDITS) initiative coordinated by RITE, the Research Institute of Innovative Technology for the Earth (Japan), and IIASA, the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) and funded by the Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry (METI) in Japan. D.P.v.V. and O.Y.E. thank the KR foundation for funding the IMAGE-Lifystyle project, contributing to the paper. The APC was funded by IRENA. Publisher Copyright: © 2022 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.

PY - 2022/3

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N2 - Countries’ emission reduction commitments under the Paris Agreement have significant implications for lifestyles. National planning to meet emission targets is based on modelling and analysis specific to individual countries, whereas global integrated assessment models provide scenario projections in a consistent framework but with less granular output. We contribute a novel methodology for translating global scenarios into lifestyle implications at the national and household levels, which is generalisable to any service or country and versatile to work with any model or scenario. Our 5Ds method post-processes Integrated Assessment Model projections of sectoral energy demand for the global region to derive energy-service-specific lifestyle change at the household level. We illustrate the methodology for two energy services (mobility, heating) in two countries (UK, Sweden), showing how effort to reach zero carbon targets varies between countries and households. Our method creates an analytical bridge between global model output and information that can be used at national and local levels, making clear the lifestyle implications of climate targets.

AB - Countries’ emission reduction commitments under the Paris Agreement have significant implications for lifestyles. National planning to meet emission targets is based on modelling and analysis specific to individual countries, whereas global integrated assessment models provide scenario projections in a consistent framework but with less granular output. We contribute a novel methodology for translating global scenarios into lifestyle implications at the national and household levels, which is generalisable to any service or country and versatile to work with any model or scenario. Our 5Ds method post-processes Integrated Assessment Model projections of sectoral energy demand for the global region to derive energy-service-specific lifestyle change at the household level. We illustrate the methodology for two energy services (mobility, heating) in two countries (UK, Sweden), showing how effort to reach zero carbon targets varies between countries and households. Our method creates an analytical bridge between global model output and information that can be used at national and local levels, making clear the lifestyle implications of climate targets.

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KW - Scenarios

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Translating Global Integrated Assessment Model Output into Lifestyle Change Pathways at the Country and Household Level

Abstract

Bibliographical note

Funding

Keywords

UN SDGs

Access to Document

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