The Potential of Preregistration in Psychology: Assessing Preregistration Producibility and Preregistration-Study Consistency

  • Olmo R. van den Akker*
  • , Marjan Bakker
  • , Marcel A.L.M. van Assen
  • , Charlotte R. Pennington
  • , Leone Verweij
  • , Mahmoud M. Elsherif
  • , Aline Claesen
  • , Stefan D.M. Gaillard
  • , Siu Kit Yeung
  • , Jan Luca Frankenberger
  • , Kai Krautter
  • , Jamie P. Cockcroft
  • , Katharina S. Kreuer
  • , Thomas Rhys Evans
  • , Frédérique M. Heppel
  • , Sarah F. Schoch
  • , Max Korbmacher
  • , Yuki Yamada
  • , Nihan Albayrak-Aydemir
  • , Shilaan Alzahawi
  • Alexandra Sarafoglou, Maksim M. Sitnikov, Filip Dechterenko, Sophia Wingen, Sandra Grinschgl, Helena Hartmann, Suzanne L.K. Stewart, Cátia M.F. de Oliveira, Sarah Ashcroft-Jones, Bradley J. Baker, Jelte M. Wicherts
*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Study preregistration has become increasingly popular in psychology, but its potential to restrict researcher degrees of freedom has not yet been empirically verified. We used an extensive protocol to assess the producibility (i.e., the degree to which a study can be properly conducted based on the available information) of preregistrations and the consistency between preregistrations and their corresponding papers for 300 psychology studies. We found that preregistrations often lack methodological details and that undisclosed deviations from preregistered plans are frequent. These results highlight that biases due to researcher degrees of freedom remain possible in many preregistered studies. More comprehensive registration templates typically yielded more producible preregistrations. We did not find that the producibility and consistency of preregistrations differed over time or between original and replication studies. Furthermore, we found that operationalizations of variables were generally preregistered more producible and consistently than other study parts. Inconsistencies between preregistrations and published studies were mainly encountered for data collection procedures, statistical models, and exclusion criteria. Our results indicate that, to unlock the full potential of preregistration, researchers in psychology should aim to write more producible preregistrations, adhere to these preregistrations more faithfully, and more transparently report any deviations from their preregistrations. This could be facilitated by training and education to improve preregistration skills, as well as the development of more comprehensive templates.

Original languageEnglish
JournalPsychological Methods
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 28 Oct 2024

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2024 The Author(s)

Funding

This research was funded in whole, or in part, by the European Commission (Grant 726361). For the purpose of open access, the author has applied a CC BY public copyright license to any Author Accepted Manuscript version arising from this submission. This work was supported by a Consolidator Grant (Innovative Methods for Psychology: Reproducible, Open, Valid, and Efficient, Grant 726361) from the European Research Council. The authors would like to thank Sarahanne Field, Gustav Nilsonne, Max Primbs, Robert Thibault, Simon Schwab, and Samuel Westwood for their contributions earlier in the project. The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest. Preliminary data related to this study were presented online on September 18, 2021, as part of the Metascience Symposium 2021. The final results related to this study were presented at the Perspectives on Scientific Error Event on February 29, 2024, and The Royal Society's " The Promises and Pitfalls of Preregistration" Meeting on March 4, 2024.

FundersFunder number
European Commission726361
European Research Council726361

    Keywords

    • metaresearch
    • preregistration
    • preregistration deviations
    • preregistration producibility
    • preregistration-study consistency

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