Abstract
This paper analyses the impact of the introduction of electromobility in Austria, focusing specifically on the potential demand for electric vehicles in the automotive market. We estimate discrete choice behavioral mixture models considering latent variables; these allows us to deal with this potential demand as well as to analyze the effect of different attributes of the alternatives over the potential market penetration. We find out that some usual assumptions regarding electromobility also hold for the Austrian market (e.g. proclivity of green-minded people and reluctance of older individuals), while others are only partially valid (e.g. the power of the engine is not relevant for purely electric vehicles). Along the same line, it is established that some policy incentives would have a positive effect for the demand for electrical cars, while others - such as an annual Park and Ride subscription or a one-year-ticket for public transportation - would not increase the willingness-to-pay for electromobility. Our work suggests the existence of reliability thresholds concerning the availability of charging stations. Finally this paper enunciates and successfully tests an alternative approach to address unreported information regarding income in presence of endogeneity and multiple information sources. We find that, for our sample, the presence of endogeneity and correlation makes both classical imputation techniques unsuitable.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 30-41 |
| Number of pages | 12 |
| Journal | Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice |
| Volume | 83 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 1 Jan 2016 |
| Externally published | Yes |
Funding
This paper is based on the scientific work done in the DEFINE project (Development of an Evaluation Framework for the Introduction of Electromobility). We gratefully acknowledge the funding for DEFINE as part of the ERA-NET Plus Electromobility+ call by the EU-Commission and national funding institutions: the Ministry for Transport, Innovation and Technology (Austria), the Federal Ministry of Transport and Digital Infrastructure , formerly Federal Ministry for Transport, Building and Urban Development (Germany), and the National Centre for Research and Development (Poland). For further information on DEFINE, please see https://www.ihs.ac.at/projects/define/ . The authors also thank Prof. Juan de Dios Ortúzar for his useful comments and insights. Several referees also provided valuable suggestions. All errors are the authors’ sole responsibility A
Keywords
- Electric vehicles
- Electromobility
- Hybrid discrete choice model
- Latent variables
- Unreported income