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The hidden elegance of causal interaction models

  • S. Renooij*
  • , L.C. van der Gaag
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › Academic › peer-review

Abstract

Causal interaction models such as the noisy-or model, are used in Bayesian networks to simplify probability acquisition for variables with large numbers of modelled causes. These models essentially prescribe how to complete an exponentially large probability table from a linear number of parameters. Yet, typically the full probability tables are required for inference with Bayesian networks in which such interaction models are used, although inference algorithms tailored to specific types of network exist that can directly exploit the decomposition properties of the interaction models. In this paper we revisit these decomposition properties in view of general inference algorithms and demonstrate that they allow an alternative representation of causal interaction models that is quite concise, even with large numbers of causes involved. In addition to forestalling the need of tailored algorithms, our alternative representation brings engineering benefits beyond those widely recognised.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationScalable Uncertainty Management
Subtitle of host publication13th International Conference, SUM 2019, Compiègne, France, December 16–18, 2019, Proceedings
EditorsNahla Ben Amor, Benjamin Quost, Martin Theobald
Place of PublicationCham
PublisherSpringer
Pages38-51
Number of pages14
Edition1
ISBN (Electronic)978-3-030-35514-2
ISBN (Print)978-3-030-35513-5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 21 Nov 2019

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Computer Science
PublisherSpringer
Volume11940
ISSN (Print)0302-9743
ISSN (Electronic)1611-3349

Keywords

  • Bayesian networks
  • Causal interaction models
  • Maintenance robustness

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