Temporal and Spatial Variability in Contemporary GreenlandWarming (1958-2020)

Qinglin Zhang, Baojuan Huai*, Michiel R. van Den Broeke, John Cappelen, Minghu Ding, Yetang Wang, Weijun Sun

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

In this study, 2-m or near-surface air temperature (T2m) products from atmospheric reanalysis ERA5 and the regional climate model RACMO2.3p2 over Greenland are compared with observations from staffed stations and AutomatedWeather Stations (AWS). The results show the following: 1) Greenland experienced decadal periods of both cooling and warming during 1958-2020, with an inflection point around the mid-1990s, and no significant warming after similar to 2005 except in the north and northeast. 2) In the full time series, the magnitude of the warming increases gradually from south to north, with peak warming found along the northeastern coast. 3) The most intense warming occurred in autumn and winter, notably in the northeast. 4) The correlations of T2m with the large-scale circulation indices NAO and GBI are highly significant, but they gradually weaken from southwestern to northeastern Greenland. Under the background of Greenland rapidly warming, the shift from positive to negative NAO (negative to positive GBI) is critical to the sudden warming in Greenland since the mid-1990s.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2755-2767
Number of pages13
JournalJournal of Climate
Volume35
Issue number9
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - May 2022

Keywords

  • Arctic
  • Atmospheric circulation
  • Climate variability
  • Temperature

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