Abstract
In this paper, we propose the concepts of conditional climate resilience and conditional climate sensitivity as measures of the nonlinear response of a non-stationary background climate state to arbitrary perturbations. Based on the theory of nonlinear stability, we formulate both sensitivity and resilience in terms of a conditional nonlinear optimization problem. As illustrated by results of a zero-dimensional energy balance model, the new measures provide useful information of sensitivity and resilience of the climate system in the presence of bifurcations and under non-stationary external forcing.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 13–22 |
| Number of pages | 10 |
| Journal | Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation |
| Volume | 22 |
| Issue number | 1-3 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 2015 |
Keywords
- Climate sensitivity
- Nonlinear stability
- Bifurcation
- Resilience