Rising Oceans Guaranteed: Arctic Land Ice Loss and Sea Level Rise

Twila Moon*, Andreas Ahlstrøm, Heiko Goelzer, William Lipscomb, Sophie Nowicki

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articlepeer-review

Abstract

Purpose of Review: This paper reviews sea level contributions from land ice across the Arctic, including Greenland. We summarize ice loss measurement methods, ice loss mechanisms, and recent observations and projections, and highlight research advances over the last 3–5 years and remaining scientific challenges. Recent Findings: Mass loss across the Arctic began to accelerate during the late twentieth century, with projections of continued loss across all future greenhouse gas emission scenarios. Recent research has improved knowledge of ice hydrology and surface processes, influences of atmospheric and oceanic changes on land ice, and boundary conditions such as subglacial topography. New computer models can also more accurately simulate glacier and ice sheet evolution. Summary: Rapid Arctic ice loss is underway, and future ice loss and sea level rise are guaranteed. Research continues to better understand and model physical processes and to improve projections of ice loss rates, especially after 2050.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)211-222
Number of pages12
JournalCurrent Climate Change Reports
Volume4
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Sept 2018

Funding

Funding Information HG received funding from the program of the Netherlands Earth System Science Centre (NESSC), financially supported by the Dutch Ministry of Education, Culture and Science (OCW) under grant no. 024.002.001. AA was funded by the Programme for Monitoring of the Greenland Ice Sheet (PROMICE) under the Danish Cooperation for Environment in the Arctic and the Integrated Arctic Observation System (INTAROS) under EC Horizon 2020 grant 727890. SN was supported by the NASA Cryosphere Sciences Program. The National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) is sponsored by the National Science Foundation. TM was supported by EarthCube GRISO RCN NSF ICER 1541390 and the Study of Environmental Arctic Change (SEARCH) Land Ice Action Team (NSF grant PLR-1331100), of which WL, AA, and SN are also members.

Keywords

  • Arctic
  • Glaciers
  • Greenland Ice Sheet
  • Ice caps
  • Remote sensing
  • Sea level rise

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