Proceed with caution: on the use of computational linguistics in threat assessment

Isabelle van der Vegt*, Bennett Kleinberg, Paul Gill

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/Letter to the editorAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Large-scale linguistic analyses are increasingly applied to the study of extremism, terrorism, and other threats of violence. At the same time, practitioners working in the field of counterterrorism and security are confronted with large-scale linguistic data, and may benefit from computational methods. This article highlights the challenges and opportunities associated with applying computational linguistics in the domain of threat assessment. Four current issues are identified, namely (1) the data problem, (2) the utopia of predicting violence, (3) the base rate fallacy, and (4) the danger of closed-sourced tools. These challenges are translated into a checklist of questions that should be asked by policymakers and practitioners who (intend to) make use of tools that leverage computational linguistics for threat assessment. The ‘VISOR-P’ checklist can be used to evaluate such tools through their Validity, Indicators, Scientific Quality, Openness, Relevance and Performance. Finally, some suggestions are outlined for the furtherance of the computational linguistic threat assessment field.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)231-239
Number of pages9
JournalJournal of Policing, Intelligence and Counter Terrorism
Volume18
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2023

Keywords

  • computational linguistics
  • extremism
  • threat assessment
  • violence

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