Pricing inflation products with stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rates

Stefan N. Singor*, Lech A. Grzelak, David D.B. van Bragt, Cornelis W. Oosterlee

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

We consider a Heston type inflation model in combination with a Hull-White model for nominal and real interest rates, in which all the correlations can be non-zero. Due to the presence of the Heston dynamics our derived inflation model is able to capture the implied volatility skew/smile, which is present in the inflation option market data. We derive an efficient approximate semi-closed pricing formula for two types of inflation dependent options: index and year-on-year inflation options. The derived pricing formulas allow for an efficient calibration of the inflation model. We also illustrate our approach using a real-life pension fund example, where the Heston Hull-White model is used to determine the value of conditional future indexations.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)286-299
Number of pages14
JournalInsurance: Mathematics and Economics
Volume52
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2013
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Affine diffusion processes
  • Heston Hull-White model
  • Indexation provision
  • Inflation
  • Monte Carlo simulation
  • Pension fund

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