Predicting Urban Heat Island Mitigation with Random Forest Regression in Belgian Cities

Mitali Yeshwant Joshi, Daniel G. Aliaga, Jacques Teller

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapterAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

An abundance of impervious surfaces like building roofs in densely populated cities make green roofs a suitable solution for urban heat island (UHI) mitigation. Therefore, we employ random forest (RF) regression to predict the impact of green roofs on the surface UHI (SUHI) in Liege, Belgium. While there have been several studies identifying the impact of green roofs on UHI, fewer studies utilize a remote-sensing-based approach to measure impact on Land Surface Temperatures (LST) that are used to estimate SUHI. Moreover, the RF algorithm, can provide useful insights. In this study, we use LST obtained from Landsat-8 imagery and relate it to 2D and 3D morphological parameters that influence LST and UHI effects. Additionally, we utilise parameters that influence wind (e.g., frontal area index). We simulate the green roofs by assigning suitable values of normalised difference-vegetation index and built-up index to the buildings with flat roofs. Results suggest that green roofs decrease the average LST.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationIntelligence for Future Cities
Subtitle of host publicationPlanning Through Big Data and Urban Analytics
EditorsRobert Goodspeed, Raja Sengupta, Marketta Kyttä, Christopher Pettit
PublisherSpringer
Pages305-323
ISBN (Print)9783031317453, 9783031317460
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2023
Externally publishedYes

Publication series

NameThe Urban Book Series

Keywords

  • Green roofs
  • Random forest regression
  • Urban heat island (UHI)
  • Land surface temperature (LST)

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