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Nitrogen and phosphorus constrain the CO2 fertilization of global plant biomass

  • César Terrer*
  • , Robert B. Jackson
  • , I. Colin Prentice
  • , Trevor F. Keenan
  • , Christina Kaiser
  • , Sara Vicca
  • , Joshua B. Fisher
  • , Peter B. Reich
  • , Benjamin D. Stocker
  • , Bruce A. Hungate
  • , Josep Peñuelas
  • , Ian McCallum
  • , Nadejda A. Soudzilovskaia
  • , Lucas A. Cernusak
  • , Alan F. Talhelm
  • , Kevin Van Sundert
  • , Shilong Piao
  • , Paul C.D. Newton
  • , Mark J. Hovenden
  • , Dana M. Blumenthal
  • Yi Y. Liu, Christoph Müller, Klaus Winter, Christopher B. Field, Wolfgang Viechtbauer, Caspar J. Van Lissa, Marcel R. Hoosbeek, Makoto Watanabe, Takayoshi Koike, Victor O. Leshyk, H. Wayne Polley, Oskar Franklin
*Corresponding author for this work
  • Stanford University
  • Autonomous University of Barcelona
  • International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg
  • Imperial College London
  • Macquarie University
  • Tsinghua University
  • University of California at Berkeley
  • Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
  • University of Vienna
  • University of Antwerp
  • Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology
  • University of California at Los Angeles
  • University of Minnesota Twin Cities
  • Western Sydney University
  • Centre for Ecological Research and Forestry Applications
  • Northern Arizona University
  • CSIC
  • Leiden University
  • James Cook University Queensland
  • University of Idaho
  • Peking University
  • Chinese Academy of Sciences
  • AgResearch
  • University of Tasmania
  • United States Department of Agriculture
  • Justus Liebig University Giessen
  • University College Dublin
  • Smithsonian Institution
  • Maastricht University
  • Wageningen University & Research
  • Tokyo University of Agriculture and Technology
  • Hokkaido University

Research output: Contribution to journalLetterAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Elevated CO2 (eCO2) experiments provide critical information to quantify the effects of rising CO2 on vegetation1–6. Many eCO2 experiments suggest that nutrient limitations modulate the local magnitude of the eCO2 effect on plant biomass1,3,5, but the global extent of these limitations has not been empirically quantified, complicating projections of the capacity of plants to take up CO2 7,8. Here, we present a data-driven global quantification of the eCO2 effect on biomass based on 138 eCO2 experiments. The strength of CO2 fertilization is primarily driven by nitrogen (N) in ~65% of global vegetation and by phosphorus (P) in ~25% of global vegetation, with N- or P-limitation modulated by mycorrhizal association. Our approach suggests that CO2 levels expected by 2100 can potentially enhance plant biomass by 12 ± 3% above current values, equivalent to 59 ± 13 PgC. The global-scale response to eCO2 we derive from experiments is similar to past changes in greenness9 and biomass10 with rising CO2, suggesting that CO2 will continue to stimulate plant biomass in the future despite the constraining effect of soil nutrients. Our research reconciles conflicting evidence on CO2 fertilization across scales and provides an empirical estimate of the biomass sensitivity to eCO2 that may help to constrain climate projections.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)684-689
Number of pages6
JournalNature Climate Change
Volume9
Issue number9
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Sept 2019

Funding

We thank C. Körner, R. Norby, M. Schneider, Y. Carrillo, E. Pendall, B. Kimball, M. Watanabe, T. Koike, G. Smith, S.J. Tumber-Davila, T. Hasegawa, B. Sigurdsson, S. Hasegawa, A.L. Abdalla-Filho and L. Fenstermaker for sharing data and advice. This research is a contribution to the AXA Chair Programme in Biosphere and Climate Impacts and the Imperial College initiative Grand Challenges in Ecosystems and the Environment. Part of this research was developed in the Young Scientists Summer Program at the International Institute for Systems Analysis, Laxenburg (Austria) with financial support from the Natural Environment Research Council (UK). C.T. also acknowledges financial support from the Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities through the María de Maeztu programme for Units of Excellence (grant no. MDM-2015-0552). I.C.P. acknowledges support from the European Research Council under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (grant no. 787203 REALM). S.V. and K.v.S. acknowledge support from the Fund for Scientific Research, Flanders (Belgium). T.F.K. acknowledges support by the Director, Office of Science, Office of Biological and Environmental Research of the US Department of Energy under contract DE-AC02-05CH11231 as part of the RuBiSCo SFA. J.P. acknowledges support from the European Research Council through Synergy grant no. ERC-2013-SyG-610028 ‘IMBALANCE-P’. T.F.K. and J.B.F. were supported in part by NASA IDS Award no. NNH17AE86I. J.B.F. was also supported by the US Department of Energy, Office of Science, Office of Biological and Environmental Research. J.B.F. contributed to this research from Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, under a contract with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. California Institute of Technology. N.A.S. was supported by Vidi grant no. 016.161.318 by the Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research. This paper is a contribution to the Global Carbon Project.

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