Mixed-Effects Modeling Framework for Amsterdam and Copenhagen for Outdoor NO2 Concentrations Using Measurements Sampled with Google Street View Cars.

Jules Kerckhoffs, Jibran Khan, Gerard Hoek, Zhendong Yuan, Thomas Ellermann, Ole Hertel, Matthias Ketzel, Steen Solvang Jensen, Kees Meliefste, Roel Vermeulen

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

High-resolution air quality (AQ) maps based on street-by-street measurements have become possible through large-scale mobile measurement campaigns. Such campaigns have produced data-only maps and have been used to produce empirical models [i.e., land use regression (LUR) models]. Assuming that all road segments are measured, we developed a mixed model framework that predicts concentrations by an LUR model, while allowing road segments to deviate from the LUR prediction based on between-segment variation as a random effect. We used Google Street View cars, equipped with high-quality AQ instruments, and measured the concentration of NO 2 on every street in Amsterdam ( n = 46.664) and Copenhagen ( n = 28.499) on average seven times over the course of 9 and 16 months, respectively. We compared the data-only mapping, LUR, and mixed model estimates with measurements from passive samplers ( n = 82) and predictions from dispersion models in the same time window as mobile monitoring. In Amsterdam, mixed model estimates correlated r s (Spearman correlation) = 0.85 with external measurements, whereas the data-only approach and LUR model estimates correlated r s = 0.74 and 0.75, respectively. Mixed model estimates also correlated higher r s = 0.65 with the deterministic model predictions compared to the data-only ( r s = 0.50) and LUR model ( r s = 0.61). In Copenhagen, mixed model estimates correlated r s = 0.51 with external model predictions compared to r s = 0.45 and r s = 0.50 for data-only and LUR model, respectively. Correlation increased for 97 locations ( r s = 0.65) with more detailed traffic information. This means that the mixed model approach is able to combine the strength of data-only mapping (to show hyperlocal variation) and LUR models by shrinking uncertain concentrations toward the model output.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)7174-7184
Number of pages11
JournalEnvironmental Science & Technology
Volume56
Issue number11
Early online date9 Mar 2022
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 7 Jun 2022

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
The project received funding from the Environmental Defense Fund, Google, EXPOSOME-NL (NWO; project no 024.004.017) and EXPANSE (EU-H2020 grant no 874627). J.K. work is supported by the Danish Big Data Centre for Environment and Health (BERTHA), funded by the Novo Nordisk Foundation (NNF) Challenge Programme, grant no NNF170C0027864.

Publisher Copyright:
© 2022 American Chemical Society. All rights reserved.

Keywords

  • Google Street View
  • LUR
  • NO measurements
  • hyperlocal variation
  • mixed-effect model

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