Abstract
High-resolution air quality (AQ) maps based on street-by-street measurements have become possible through large-scale mobile measurement campaigns. Such campaigns have produced data-only maps and have been used to produce empirical models [i.e., land use regression (LUR) models]. Assuming that all road segments are measured, we developed a mixed model framework that predicts concentrations by an LUR model, while allowing road segments to deviate from the LUR prediction based on between-segment variation as a random effect. We used Google Street View cars, equipped with high-quality AQ instruments, and measured the concentration of NO 2 on every street in Amsterdam ( n = 46.664) and Copenhagen ( n = 28.499) on average seven times over the course of 9 and 16 months, respectively. We compared the data-only mapping, LUR, and mixed model estimates with measurements from passive samplers ( n = 82) and predictions from dispersion models in the same time window as mobile monitoring. In Amsterdam, mixed model estimates correlated r s (Spearman correlation) = 0.85 with external measurements, whereas the data-only approach and LUR model estimates correlated r s = 0.74 and 0.75, respectively. Mixed model estimates also correlated higher r s = 0.65 with the deterministic model predictions compared to the data-only ( r s = 0.50) and LUR model ( r s = 0.61). In Copenhagen, mixed model estimates correlated r s = 0.51 with external model predictions compared to r s = 0.45 and r s = 0.50 for data-only and LUR model, respectively. Correlation increased for 97 locations ( r s = 0.65) with more detailed traffic information. This means that the mixed model approach is able to combine the strength of data-only mapping (to show hyperlocal variation) and LUR models by shrinking uncertain concentrations toward the model output.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 7174-7184 |
Number of pages | 11 |
Journal | Environmental Science & Technology |
Volume | 56 |
Issue number | 11 |
Early online date | 9 Mar 2022 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 7 Jun 2022 |
Bibliographical note
Funding Information:The project received funding from the Environmental Defense Fund, Google, EXPOSOME-NL (NWO; project no 024.004.017) and EXPANSE (EU-H2020 grant no 874627). J.K. work is supported by the Danish Big Data Centre for Environment and Health (BERTHA), funded by the Novo Nordisk Foundation (NNF) Challenge Programme, grant no NNF170C0027864.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2022 American Chemical Society. All rights reserved.
Keywords
- Google Street View
- LUR
- NO measurements
- hyperlocal variation
- mixed-effect model