Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Implications for Long-Term Investors

L. Spierdijk, J.A. Bikker

    Research output: Working paperAcademic

    Abstract

    This paper discusses the implications of mean reversion in stock prices for longterm investors such as pension funds. We start with a general definition of a meanreverting price process and explain how mean reversion in stock prices is related to mean reversion in stock returns. Subsequently, we show that mean reversion makes stocks less risky for investors with long investment horizons. Next, we consider a mean-variance efficient investor and show how mean reversion in stock prices affects such an investor’s optimal portfolio weights. Finally, we discuss the implications of our findings for the investment decisions of long-term investors.
    Original languageEnglish
    Place of PublicationUtrecht
    PublisherUU USE Tjalling C. Koopmans Research Institute
    Number of pages33
    Publication statusPublished - 2012

    Publication series

    NameDiscussion Paper Series / Tjalling C. Koopmans Research Institute
    No.07
    Volume12
    ISSN (Electronic)2666-8238

    Keywords

    • mean-variance efficiency
    • optimal portfolio weights
    • pension funds
    • risk-aversion
    • variance of stock returns

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