Machine-learning methods applied to integrated transcriptomic data from bovine blastocysts and elongating conceptuses to identify genes predictive of embryonic competence

Early pregnancy loss markedly impacts reproductive efficiency in cattle. The objectives were to model a biologically relevant gene signature predicting embryonic competence for survival after integrating transcriptomic data from blastocysts and elongating conceptuses with different developmental capacities and to validate the potential biomarkers with independent embryonic data sets through the application of machine-learning algorithms. First, two data sets from in vivo-produced blastocysts competent or not to sustain a pregnancy were integrated with a data set from long and short day-15 conceptuses. A statistical contrast determined differentially expressed genes (DEG) increasing in expression from a competent blastocyst to a long conceptus and vice versa; these were enriched for KEGG pathways related to glycolysis/gluconeogenesis and RNA processing, respectively. Next, the most discriminative DEG between blastocysts that resulted or did not in pregnancy were selected by linear discriminant analysis. These eight putative biomarker genes were validated by modeling their expression in competent or noncompetent blastocysts through Bayesian logistic regression or neural networks and predicting embryo developmental fate in four external data sets consisting of in vitro-produced blastocysts (i) competent or not, or (ii) exposed or not to detrimental conditions during culture, and elongated conceptuses (iii) of different length, or (iv) developed in the uteri of high- or subfertile heifers. Predictions for each data set were more than 85% accurate, suggesting that these genes play a key role in embryo development and pregnancy establishment. In conclusion, this study integrated transcriptomic data from seven independent experiments to identify a small set of genes capable of predicting embryonic competence for survival.