Abstract
BACKGROUND: Health implications of long-term exposure to ubiquitously present ultrafine particles (UFP) are uncertain. The aim of this study was to investigate the associations between long-term UFP exposure and natural and cause-specific mortality (including cardiovascular disease (CVD), respiratory disease, and lung cancer) in the Netherlands.
METHODS: A Dutch national cohort of 10.8 million adults aged ≥ 30 years was followed from 2013 until 2019. Annual average UFP concentrations were estimated at the home address at baseline, using land-use regression models based on a nationwide mobile monitoring campaign performed at the midpoint of the follow-up period. Cox proportional hazard models were applied, adjusting for individual and area-level socio-economic status covariates. Two-pollutant models with the major regulated pollutants nitrogen dioxide (NO 2) and fine particles (PM 2 . 5 and PM 10), and the health relevant combustion aerosol pollutant (elemental carbon (EC)) were assessed based on dispersion modelling.
RESULTS: A total of 945,615 natural deaths occurred during 71,008,209 person-years of follow-up. The correlation of UFP concentration with other pollutants ranged from moderate (0.59 (PM 2 . 5)) to high (0.81 (NO 2)). We found a significant association between annual average UFP exposure and natural mortality [HR 1.012 (95 % CI 1.010-1.015), per interquartile range (IQR) (2723 particles/cm 3) increment]. Associations were stronger for respiratory disease mortality [HR 1.022 (1.013-1.032)] and lung cancer mortality [HR 1.038 (1.028-1.048)] and weaker for CVD mortality [HR 1.005 (1.000-1.011)]. The associations of UFP with natural and lung cancer mortality attenuated but remained significant in all two-pollutant models, whereas the associations with CVD and respiratory mortality attenuated to the null.
CONCLUSION: Long-term UFP exposure was associated with natural and lung cancer mortality among adults independently from other regulated air pollutants.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 107960 |
| Number of pages | 7 |
| Journal | Environment international |
| Volume | 175 |
| Early online date | 8 May 2023 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - May 2023 |
Bibliographical note
Funding Information:Research described in this article was conducted under contract to the Health Effects Institute (HEI), an organization jointly funded by the United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) (Assistance Award No. CR-83590201) and certain motor vehicle and engine manufacturers. The contents of this article do not necessarily reflect the views of HEI, or its sponsors, nor do they necessarily reflect the views and policies of the EPA or motor vehicle and engine manufacturers.
Funding Information:
We thank the Health Effects Institute (project “Comparison of long-term air pollution exposure assessment based on mobile monitoring, low-cost sensors, dispersion modelling and routine monitoring-based models”, HEI Research Agreement Number: 4973-RFA19-1/20-) for funding support. This work additionally was supported by an ASPASIA grant from the Dutch Research Council (NWO) to Dr. Ulrike Gehring (project number 015.010.044), the Environmental Defense Fund, EXPOSOME-NL (NWO grant number 024.004.017), EXPANSE (EU-H2020 Grant number 874627) and the Dutch Ministry of Infrastructure and Water Management (grant M/240121 and part of E/122521 supported by the Innovation Program for Environmental Monitoring).
Publisher Copyright:
© 2023 The Authors
Keywords
- Ultrafine particles
- Mortality
- National cohort
- Air pollution
- Two-pollutant models