Kansbegrip voor de Toekomst: Een Leerlijn voor Probabilistische geletterdheid in het VMBO

This research explores the question: How can a theoretically and empirically based learning path for secondary VMBO students be designed to promote probabilistic literacy that is practical and applicable in their future lives? Probabilistic literacy involves understanding concepts of probability, critically evaluating risks, and making well-considered decisions. The project consists of two phases. Phase I focuses on developing a valid and reliable Vocational Probability Measurement Scale (VPMS) to measure the probabilistic literacy of VMBO students. In Phase II, using design research, a learning path is developed and iteratively tested, based on the informal knowledge level of students. The learning path, consisting of five lessons and a final assignment, corrects misconceptions about probability and encourages practical applications. The research offers a new approach to probability education in VMBO, emphasizing practical relevance and usability in daily life.