Incorporating cyclical effects and time-varying covariates in models for single-source capture-recapture data

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Abstract

The objective of capture-recapture analysis is to estimate the size of an elusive population, for which the zero-truncated Poisson model is a basic model. We extend this model to the more general recurrent events model to include cyclical eects and time-varying covariates. An application to police data on victims of domestic violence provides strong evidence for the presence of weekly and seasonal cyclical eects on the rate of police reports.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 32 International Workshop on Statistical Modelling
Subtitle of host publicationGroningen, Netherlands, 3-7 July 2017
EditorsM. Grzegorczyk, G. Ceoldo
Place of PublicationGroningen
Pages311-316
Volume1
Publication statusPublished - 2017

Keywords

  • single-source capture-recapture
  • cyclical effects
  • time-varying covariates
  • recurrent events model
  • zero-truncation

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