Abstract
More and more studies of global (climate) change are focusing on the
past. Hundreds and thousands of years of land use, driven by population
growth have left their trace/mark on the Earth's surface. We are only at
the beginning to understand the complex relationship of human induced
disturbances of the global environment, and the consequences for future
climate. It is therefore essential that we get a clear
picture/understanding of past relationships between population growth,
land use and climate. In order to facilitate climate modelers to examine
these relationships, the HYDE database has been updated and extended.
The update of HYDE described here (Klein Goldewijk et al. 2006; Klein
Goldewijk et al. 2007) includes several improvements compared to its
predecessor: (i) the HYDE 2 version used a Boolean approach with a 30
minute degree resolution, while HYDE 3 uses fractional land use on a 5
minute resolution; (ii) more and better sub-national (population) data
(Klein Goldewijk, 2005) to improve the historical (urban and rural)
population maps as a basis for allocation of land cover; (iii)
implementation of different allocation algorithms with time-dependent
weighting maps for cropland and grassland; (iv) the period covered has
now been extended from the emergence of agriculture (10,000 B.C) to
present time (2,000 A.D.), with different time intervals. Examples of
(future) use of the database is to help test the 'Ruddiman hypothesis',
who proposed a theory that mankind already altered the global atmosphere
much earlier than the start of the Industrial Revolution in the early
18th century (Ruddiman, 2003), which put forward the research question
whether we detect a pre- Industrial Revolution anthropogenic signal, and
how strong is that signal? References Klein Goldewijk, K. A.F. Bouwman
and G. van Drecht, 2007. Mapping current global cropland and grassland
distributions on a 5 by 5 minute resolution, Journal of Land Use
Science, Vol 2(3): 167-190. Klein Goldewijk, K. and G. van Drecht, 2006.
HYDE 3: Current and historical population and land cover. MNP (2006)
(Edited by A.F. Bouwman, T. Kram and K. Klein Goldewijk), Integrated
modelling of global environmental change. An overview of IMAGE 2.4.
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (MNP), Bilthoven, The
Netherlands Klein Goldewijk, K. 2005. Three centuries of global
population growth: A spatial referenced population density database for
1700 - 2000, Population and Environment, 26 (5): 343-367. Ruddiman, WF,
2003. The anthropogenic greenhouse era bagan thousands of years ago,
Climatic Change, 61(3), 261-293.
Original language | English |
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Pages | 662 |
Publication status | Published - 1 Dec 2008 |
Event | American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2008 - , United States Duration: 15 Dec 2008 → 19 Dec 2008 |
Conference
Conference | American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2008 |
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Country/Territory | United States |
Period | 15/12/08 → 19/12/08 |
Keywords
- 1622 Earth system modeling (1225)
- 1626 Global climate models (3337
- 4928)
- 1632 Land cover change