TY - JOUR
T1 - Future indoor light and associated energy consumption based on professionals' visions
T2 - A practice- and network-oriented analysis
AU - Franceschini, Simone
AU - Borup, Mads
AU - Rosales-Carreón, Jesús
PY - 2018/4/1
Y1 - 2018/4/1
N2 - Through the insight and visions of Danish lighting experts, this manuscript investigates relationships between future lighting technologies and practices and the expected impacts on energy and lighting consumption. The light-emitting diode (LED) will be the dominant technology of the future smart light systems. Though, energy efficiency is expected to improve, new market players will appear and new lighting opportunites will be exploited that, in turn, will increase the demand for light. A rebound effect is expected. The overall impact on the future consumption of energy is uncertain, so we conclude that political guidance is needed if society wants to assure the reduction of energy consumption through widespread diffusion of smart LED lights.
AB - Through the insight and visions of Danish lighting experts, this manuscript investigates relationships between future lighting technologies and practices and the expected impacts on energy and lighting consumption. The light-emitting diode (LED) will be the dominant technology of the future smart light systems. Though, energy efficiency is expected to improve, new market players will appear and new lighting opportunites will be exploited that, in turn, will increase the demand for light. A rebound effect is expected. The overall impact on the future consumption of energy is uncertain, so we conclude that political guidance is needed if society wants to assure the reduction of energy consumption through widespread diffusion of smart LED lights.
KW - Cognitive mapping
KW - Energy consumption
KW - LED technology
KW - Lighting
KW - Rebound effect
KW - Smart light
KW - Technology foresight
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85044324149&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.techfore.2018.01.013
DO - 10.1016/j.techfore.2018.01.013
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85044324149
SN - 0040-1625
VL - 129
SP - 1
EP - 11
JO - Technological Forecasting and Social Change
JF - Technological Forecasting and Social Change
ER -