Foresight: Multilevel Climate Policy in 2030

Miranda Boettcher; Ole  Adolphsen; Oliver Geden; Jule  Könneke; Felix Schenuit; Sonja  Thielges

Foresight: Multilevel Climate Policy in 2030

Miranda Boettcher^*, Ole Adolphsen, Oliver Geden, Jule Könneke, Felix Schenuit, Sonja Thielges

^*Corresponding author for this work

Global Sustainability Governance

Research output: Working paper › Academic

Abstract

What effects would it have on German, EU and international climate policy if Trump is re-elected and leaves the Paris Agreement? If the US/China tensions escalate? Or if the European Green Deal were not continued? Climate policy is a multifaceted field characterized by the intricate interplay between domestic, regional, supranational, and international dynamics. Thinking through the plausible future complexities of climate policy requires a comprehensive approach that considers the interconnections and synergies across these different levels. In order to enable such future thinking, two foresight workshops were carried out as part of an internal process within the SWP’s Research Cluster on Climate Policy and Politics. This working paper details how the foresight process enabled structured thinking about complex plausible (rather than probable or desirable) futures, and provided a framework for a discussion of climate policy recommendations that may be robust in the face of a range of such plausible futures.

Original language	English
Publisher	Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik
Number of pages	35
Publication status	Published - 8 Sept 2024

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

Access to Document

WP_Boettcher_Adolphsen_Geden_Koenneke_Schenuit_Thielges_SWP_Climate_Foresight_2030Final published version, 1.83 MBLicence: Unspecified

https://www.swp-berlin.org/publications/products/arbeitspapiere/WP_Boettcher_Adolphsen_Geden_Koenneke_Schenuit_Thielges_SWP_Climate_Foresight_2030.pdf

Cite this

@techreport{da518ed3de344b09a57b021021aa21ce,

title = "Foresight: Multilevel Climate Policy in 2030",

abstract = "What effects would it have on German, EU and international climate policy if Trump is re-elected and leaves the Paris Agreement? If the US/China tensions escalate? Or if the European Green Deal were not continued? Climate policy is a multifaceted field characterized by the intricate interplay between domestic, regional, supranational, and international dynamics. Thinking through the plausible future complexities of climate policy requires a comprehensive approach that considers the interconnections and synergies across these different levels. In order to enable such future thinking, two foresight workshops were carried out as part of an internal process within the SWP{\textquoteright}s Research Cluster on Climate Policy and Politics. This working paper details how the foresight process enabled structured thinking about complex plausible (rather than probable or desirable) futures, and provided a framework for a discussion of climate policy recommendations that may be robust in the face of a range of such plausible futures.",

author = "Miranda Boettcher and Ole Adolphsen and Oliver Geden and Jule K{\"o}nneke and Felix Schenuit and Sonja Thielges",

year = "2024",

month = sep,

day = "8",

language = "English",

publisher = "Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik",

type = "WorkingPaper",

institution = "Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik",

}

TY - UNPB

T1 - Foresight: Multilevel Climate Policy in 2030

AU - Boettcher, Miranda

AU - Adolphsen, Ole

AU - Geden, Oliver

AU - Könneke, Jule

AU - Schenuit, Felix

AU - Thielges, Sonja

PY - 2024/9/8

Y1 - 2024/9/8

N2 - What effects would it have on German, EU and international climate policy if Trump is re-elected and leaves the Paris Agreement? If the US/China tensions escalate? Or if the European Green Deal were not continued? Climate policy is a multifaceted field characterized by the intricate interplay between domestic, regional, supranational, and international dynamics. Thinking through the plausible future complexities of climate policy requires a comprehensive approach that considers the interconnections and synergies across these different levels. In order to enable such future thinking, two foresight workshops were carried out as part of an internal process within the SWP’s Research Cluster on Climate Policy and Politics. This working paper details how the foresight process enabled structured thinking about complex plausible (rather than probable or desirable) futures, and provided a framework for a discussion of climate policy recommendations that may be robust in the face of a range of such plausible futures.

AB - What effects would it have on German, EU and international climate policy if Trump is re-elected and leaves the Paris Agreement? If the US/China tensions escalate? Or if the European Green Deal were not continued? Climate policy is a multifaceted field characterized by the intricate interplay between domestic, regional, supranational, and international dynamics. Thinking through the plausible future complexities of climate policy requires a comprehensive approach that considers the interconnections and synergies across these different levels. In order to enable such future thinking, two foresight workshops were carried out as part of an internal process within the SWP’s Research Cluster on Climate Policy and Politics. This working paper details how the foresight process enabled structured thinking about complex plausible (rather than probable or desirable) futures, and provided a framework for a discussion of climate policy recommendations that may be robust in the face of a range of such plausible futures.

M3 - Working paper

BT - Foresight: Multilevel Climate Policy in 2030

PB - Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik

ER -

Foresight: Multilevel Climate Policy in 2030

Abstract

UN SDGs

Access to Document

Fingerprint

Cite this