Flawed Emergency Intervention: Slow Ocean Response to Abrupt Stratospheric Aerosol Injection

Daniel Pflüger*, Claudia Wieners, Leo Van Kampenhout, René R. Wijngaard, Henk Dijkstra

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Given the possibility of irreversible, anthropogenic changes in the climate system, technologies such as solar radiation management (SRM) are sometimes framed as possible emergency interventions. However, little knowledge exists on the efficacy of such deployments. To fill in this gap, we perform Community Earth System Model 2 simulations of an intense warming scenario on which we impose gradual early-century SRM or rapid late-century cooling (an emergency intervention), both realized via stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI). While both scenarios cool Earth's surface, ocean responses differ drastically. Rapid cooling fails to release deep ocean heat content or restore an ailing North Atlantic deep convection but partially stabilizes the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. In contrast, the early intervention effectively mitigates changes in all of these features. Our results suggest that slow ocean timescales impair the efficacy of some SAI emergency interventions.
Original languageEnglish
Article numbere2023GL106132
Number of pages9
JournalGeophysical Research Letters
Volume51
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 16 Mar 2024

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2024. The Authors.

Funding

We thank Daniele Visioni, Doug MacMartin and Ben Kravitz for sharing their feedback controller code, our colleague Michael Kliphuis for providing his AMOC streamfunction tools and Simone Tilmes for providing CESM2-WACCM data. Furthermore, we thank Jasper de Jong and Michiel Baatsen for fruitful discussions on the feedback control of SAI 2080. Daniel Pflueger and Claudia Wieners are supported by the Dutch Ministry for Education, Culture and Science via the Sectorplan Science and Technology.

FundersFunder number
Dutch Ministry for Education, Culture and Science via the Sectorplan Science and Technology

    Keywords

    • Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
    • deep convection
    • ocean heat content
    • stratospheric aerosol injection
    • subpolar gyre
    • tipping points

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