Abstract
Given the possibility of irreversible, anthropogenic changes in the climate system, technologies such as solar radiation management (SRM) are sometimes framed as possible emergency interventions. However, little knowledge exists on the efficacy of such deployments. To fill in this gap, we perform Community Earth System Model 2 simulations of an intense warming scenario on which we impose gradual early-century SRM or rapid late-century cooling (an emergency intervention), both realized via stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI). While both scenarios cool Earth's surface, ocean responses differ drastically. Rapid cooling fails to release deep ocean heat content or restore an ailing North Atlantic deep convection but partially stabilizes the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. In contrast, the early intervention effectively mitigates changes in all of these features. Our results suggest that slow ocean timescales impair the efficacy of some SAI emergency interventions.
Original language | English |
---|---|
Article number | e2023GL106132 |
Number of pages | 9 |
Journal | Geophysical Research Letters |
Volume | 51 |
Issue number | 5 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 16 Mar 2024 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:© 2024. The Authors.
Funding
We thank Daniele Visioni, Doug MacMartin and Ben Kravitz for sharing their feedback controller code, our colleague Michael Kliphuis for providing his AMOC streamfunction tools and Simone Tilmes for providing CESM2-WACCM data. Furthermore, we thank Jasper de Jong and Michiel Baatsen for fruitful discussions on the feedback control of SAI 2080. Daniel Pflueger and Claudia Wieners are supported by the Dutch Ministry for Education, Culture and Science via the Sectorplan Science and Technology.
Funders | Funder number |
---|---|
Dutch Ministry for Education, Culture and Science via the Sectorplan Science and Technology |
Keywords
- Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
- deep convection
- ocean heat content
- stratospheric aerosol injection
- subpolar gyre
- tipping points