Financial Crisis, Creditor-Debtor Conflict, and Populism

Győző Gyöngyösi, Emil Verner

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

We study the impact of debtor distress on support for a populist far-right political party during a financial crisis. Our empirical approach exploits variation in exposure to foreign currency household loans during a currency crisis in Hungary. Foreign currency debt exposure leads to a large, persistent increase in support for the populist far right. We document that the far right advocated for foreign currency debtors' interests by proposing aggressive debt relief and was rewarded with support from these voters. Our findings are consistent with theories emphasizing that conflict between creditors and debtors can shape political outcomes after financial crises.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2471-2523
Number of pages53
JournalJournal of Finance
Volume77
Issue number4
Early online dateMay 2022
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Aug 2022
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Extreme-right
  • Economic nationalism
  • Voting-behavior
  • Preferences
  • Households
  • Origins
  • Surge
  • Vote

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