Extending integrated assessment models′ damage functions to include adaptation and dynamic sensitivity

Francisco Estrada*, Richard S.J. Tol, W. J.Wouter Botzen

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Through stylized damage functions, Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) provide estimates of the economic costs that would occur for absolute changes in global temperature. In these damage functions, adaptation, sensitivity and their interactions are often combined in an intractable way. In this theoretical study we propose a new type of damage functions that allows mapping economic losses in terms of how extreme global temperature changes are in relation to a coping range representing the capacity of a system to deal with the climate conditions experienced at a particular period of time. In these new damage functions, which can be applied to the regional and global scales, adaptation to a changing climate is introduced by allowing the reference climate to be a function of time instead of a fixed quantity. Different formulations of damage functions discussed in the literature arise as special cases.

Original languageEnglish
Article number104504
Number of pages10
JournalEnvironmental Modelling and Software
Volume121
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Nov 2019

Funding

Francisco Estrada acknowledges financial support for this work from the Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología ( http://www.conacyt.gob.mx ) under grant CONACYT- 310026 , as well as from PASPA-DGAPA of the Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México . Wouter Botzen has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 776479. Appendix A

Keywords

  • Adaptation
  • Coping range
  • Economic costs of climate change
  • Integrated assessment model
  • System dynamics

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