Evolution of anthropogenic emissions at the global and regional scale during the past three decades

The knowledge of the distributions of surface emissions of gases and aerosols is essential for an accurate modeling and analysis of the distribution and evolution of the concentration of gaseous and particulate chemical species. The quantification of surface fluxes by source of origin is furthermore central to the assessment of effects and the development of control measures. Over the past few years, different ranges of emission fluxes have been proposed by several studies, which have provided emissions at different spatial and temporal scales. We have compared the emissions of several chemical compounds, i.e. carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide and black carbon, as provided by global and regional emissions inventories in different regions of the world for the past thirty years. The presentation will focus on the United States, Europe and China. Significant differences between the datasets providing emissions in these regions have been identified, reaching for example 60% and 35% for anthropogenic emissions of carbon monoxide and nitrogen oxides in both regions, respectively. We will assess the current uncertainties on surface emissions and their recent trends. This analysis is often hindered because of differences in base years and in species considered in the different datasets. Current work aiming at compiling comparable metrics for such species for the analysis of regional and global emission datasets will be discussed.