Abstract
Recent research on cognitive biases in decision making suggests that over-optimism critically influences entrepreneurs’ decisions to establish and sustain new firms. This paper looks at entrepreneurs’ over-optimism during the early life course of the firm, in order to uncover the dynamics and persistence of over-optimism. We use a representative sample of start-ups in the Netherlands, which we divide into solo self-employed and employer firms. We find that while there is a persistence of over-optimism for the solo self-employed, namely initial over-optimist are more likely to be overoptimistic in subsequent periods; this is not the case for the employer firms.
Original language | English |
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Title of host publication | Foundations of Economic Change |
Publisher | Springer |
Pages | 333-353 |
Number of pages | 21 |
ISBN (Electronic) | 978-3-319-62009-1 |
ISBN (Print) | 978-3-319-62008-4 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 28 Aug 2017 |
Publication series
Name | Economic Complexity and Evolution |
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ISSN (Print) | 2199-3173 |
ISSN (Electronic) | 2199-3181 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:© 2017, Springer International Publishing AG.
Keywords
- Biases
- Early life course of the firm
- Entrepreneurship
- Firm growth
- Learning
- Over-optimism
- Risk-propensity