Conducting Meta-Analyses Based on p Values: Reservations and Recommendations for Applying p-Uniform and p-Curve

Robbie C M van Aert*, Jelte M. Wicherts, Marcel A L M van Assen

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Because of overwhelming evidence of publication bias in psychology, techniques to correct meta-analytic estimates for such bias are greatly needed. The methodology on which the p-uniform and p-curve methods are based has great promise for providing accurate meta-analytic estimates in the presence of publication bias. However, in this article, we show that in some situations, p-curve behaves erratically, whereas p-uniform may yield implausible estimates of negative effect size. Moreover, we show that (and explain why) p-curve and p-uniform result in overestimation of effect size under moderate-to-large heterogeneity and may yield unpredictable bias when researchers employ p-hacking. We offer hands-on recommendations on applying and interpreting results of meta-analyses in general and p-uniform and p-curve in particular. Both methods as well as traditional methods are applied to a meta-analysis on the effect of weight on judgments of importance. We offer guidance for applying p-uniform or p-curve using R and a user-friendly web application for applying p-uniform.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)713-729
Number of pages17
JournalPerspectives on Psychological Science
Volume11
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Sept 2016

Keywords

  • heterogeneity
  • meta-analysis
  • p-curve
  • p-hacking
  • p-uniform

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