Computing Capital Stocks in the German Social Security Records and Quantifying Their Role for Wage Inequality

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Abstract

We develop a method to impute capital stocks from investments for a sub-sample of firms in the German social security records and implement a machine-learning algorithm to predict capital stocks for the universe of firms. These capital stocks explain 40% of the variation in capital stocks of the Bureau van Dijk data. We make our data available for other researchers. We find that these capital stocks explain a sizeable fraction of wage inequality by extending the variance decomposition of Card et al. (2013), suggesting that rising firm heterogeneity in capital intensity may further amplify wage inequality. (JEL codes: C81, D24, and J31)
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)370-393
Number of pages25
JournalCESifo Economic Studies
Volume70
Issue number4
Early online date9 Oct 2024
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2024

Funding

Helpful comments and discussions from Melanie Arntz, Sabrina Genz, Terry Gregory, Johannes Ludsteck, Insa Weilage, an anonymous referee, and seminar participants at Utrecht University are gratefully acknowledged.

Keywords

  • capital stock
  • social security data
  • perpetual inventory method
  • imputation
  • machine learning
  • wage inequality

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