Comprehensive conservation assessments reveal high extinction risks across Atlantic Forest trees

Renato A. F. de Lima*, Gilles Dauby, André L. de Gasper, Eduardo P. Fernandez, Alexander C. Vibrans, Alexandre A. de Oliveira, Paulo I. Prado, Vinícius C. Souza, Marinez F. de Siqueira, Hans Ter Steege

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Biodiversity is declining globally, yet many biodiversity hotspots still lack comprehensive species conservation assessments. Using multiple International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List criteria to evaluate extinction risks and millions of herbarium and forest inventory records, we present automated conservation assessments for all tree species of the Atlantic Forest biodiversity hotspot, including ~1100 heretofore unassessed species. About 65% of all species and 82% of endemic species are classified as threatened. We rediscovered five species classified as Extinct on the IUCN Red List and identified 13 endemics as possibly extinct. Uncertainties in species information had little influence on the assessments, but using fewer Red List criteria severely underestimated threat levels. We suggest that the conservation status of tropical forests worldwide is worse than previously reported.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)219-225
Number of pages7
JournalScience
Volume383
Issue number6679
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 12 Jan 2024

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2024 American Association for the Advancement of Science. All rights reserved.

Funding

We thank H. R. Akçakaya and CNCFlora staff (P. da Rosa, G. Martinelli, E. Martins, R. Loyola, P. H. A. de Melo, and T. L. B. da Cunha) for advice on the IUCN Red List Categories and Criteria. Special thanks go to M. Rivers and E. Beech [Botanic Gardens Conservation International (BGCI)] for reviewing the methods used to generate the conservation assessments. We acknowledge J. S. Wright and H. Muller-Landau (Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute) for their input on the estimation of age of first reproduction and C. Canteiro (Global Center for Species Survival, Indianapolis Zoo) for the clarifications of the GL used in previous IUCN Red List assessments. We also thank M. Barstow and E. Beech (BGCI) for providing their list of commercial timber species. This research was funded by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement no. 795114 (R.A.F.d.L. and H.t.S.). Forest inventory data was funded by grants 2013/08722-5 [São Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP)], 312075/2013-8 [Brazilian National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq)], and 2017TR1922 [Santa Catarina Research Foundation (FAPESC)] to R.A.F.d.L., P.I.P., A.C.V., and A.L.d.G. A.L.d.G., A.C.V., M.F.d.S., and P.I.P. were supported by CNPq grants 311303/2020-0, 305199/ 2022-6, 310206/2019-7, and 313055/2020-3, respectively.

FundersFunder number
CNCFlora staff
Santa Catarina Research Foundation
Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute
Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
H2020 Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions795114, 2013/08722-5
Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo2017TR1922, 312075/2013-8
Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico305199/ 2022-6, 310206/2019-7, 313055/2020-3, 311303/2020-0
Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa e Inovação do Estado de Santa Catarina

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