Abstract
A collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) under a quasi-equilibrium freshwater forcing has now been found in a hierarchy of ocean-climate models and up to a fully-coupled climate model, the Community Earth System Model (CESM). However, the effects of eddies on the ocean flows are represented in a highly idealized way in the CESM and it is unknown how these affect AMOC stability. Here, we show results of the first quasi-equilibrium hosing simulation with a strongly eddying ocean-only model in which the AMOC collapses. By comparing these results to those of a companion non-eddying simulation with the same model, it is found that eddies are able to maintain a weak ((Formula presented.) 5 Sv) AMOC flow in the collapsed state. In addition, we find that the AMOC induced freshwater transport at 34 (Formula presented.) S is a reliable physics-based early warning indicator for the onset of the AMOC collapse.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | e2024GL114532 |
| Number of pages | 11 |
| Journal | Geophysical Research Letters |
| Volume | 52 |
| Issue number | 6 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 28 Mar 2025 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:© 2025. The Author(s).
UN SDGs
This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
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SDG 13 Climate Action
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SDG 15 Life on Land
Keywords
- AMOC
- high-resolution
- ocean eddies
- tipping event
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