Collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a Strongly Eddying Ocean-Only Model

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

A collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) under a quasi-equilibrium freshwater forcing has now been found in a hierarchy of ocean-climate models and up to a fully-coupled climate model, the Community Earth System Model (CESM). However, the effects of eddies on the ocean flows are represented in a highly idealized way in the CESM and it is unknown how these affect AMOC stability. Here, we show results of the first quasi-equilibrium hosing simulation with a strongly eddying ocean-only model in which the AMOC collapses. By comparing these results to those of a companion non-eddying simulation with the same model, it is found that eddies are able to maintain a weak ((Formula presented.) 5 Sv) AMOC flow in the collapsed state. In addition, we find that the AMOC induced freshwater transport at 34 (Formula presented.) S is a reliable physics-based early warning indicator for the onset of the AMOC collapse.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere2024GL114532
Number of pages11
JournalGeophysical Research Letters
Volume52
Issue number6
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 28 Mar 2025

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2025. The Author(s).

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 13 - Climate Action
    SDG 13 Climate Action
  2. SDG 15 - Life on Land
    SDG 15 Life on Land

Keywords

  • AMOC
  • high-resolution
  • ocean eddies
  • tipping event

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