Capture-recapture to estimate criminal populations

P.G.M. van der Heijden; Maarten Cruyff; D Böhning

doi:10.1007/978-1-4614-5690-2_662

Capture-recapture to estimate criminal populations

P.G.M. van der Heijden, Maarten Cruyff, D Böhning

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Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Chapter › Academic › peer-review

Abstract

Methodology is presented that allows to estimate the size of population from a single register, such as a police register of offenders. A capture-recapture variable is constructed from Dutch police records and is a count of the police contacts for a violation. A population size estimate is derived assuming that each count is a realization of a Poisson distribution and that the Poisson parameters are related to covariates through the truncated Poisson regression model or variants of this model. As an example, estimates for perpetrators of domestic violence are presented. It is concluded that the methodology is useful, provided it is used with care.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	Encyclopedia of Criminology and Criminal Justice
Editors	G.J.N. Bruinsma, D.L. Weisburd
Place of Publication	Berlin, DE
Publisher	Springer
Pages	267-276
Number of pages	10
ISBN (Print)	978-1-4614-5689-6
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-5690-2_662
Publication status	Published - 6 Oct 2014

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10.1007/978-1-4614-5690-2_662

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title = "Capture-recapture to estimate criminal populations",

abstract = "Methodology is presented that allows to estimate the size of population from a single register, such as a police register of offenders. A capture-recapture variable is constructed from Dutch police records and is a count of the police contacts for a violation. A population size estimate is derived assuming that each count is a realization of a Poisson distribution and that the Poisson parameters are related to covariates through the truncated Poisson regression model or variants of this model. As an example, estimates for perpetrators of domestic violence are presented. It is concluded that the methodology is useful, provided it is used with care.",

author = "{van der Heijden}, P.G.M. and Maarten Cruyff and D B{\"o}hning",

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AU - van der Heijden, P.G.M.

AU - Cruyff, Maarten

AU - Böhning, D

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Y1 - 2014/10/6

N2 - Methodology is presented that allows to estimate the size of population from a single register, such as a police register of offenders. A capture-recapture variable is constructed from Dutch police records and is a count of the police contacts for a violation. A population size estimate is derived assuming that each count is a realization of a Poisson distribution and that the Poisson parameters are related to covariates through the truncated Poisson regression model or variants of this model. As an example, estimates for perpetrators of domestic violence are presented. It is concluded that the methodology is useful, provided it is used with care.

AB - Methodology is presented that allows to estimate the size of population from a single register, such as a police register of offenders. A capture-recapture variable is constructed from Dutch police records and is a count of the police contacts for a violation. A population size estimate is derived assuming that each count is a realization of a Poisson distribution and that the Poisson parameters are related to covariates through the truncated Poisson regression model or variants of this model. As an example, estimates for perpetrators of domestic violence are presented. It is concluded that the methodology is useful, provided it is used with care.

U2 - 10.1007/978-1-4614-5690-2_662

DO - 10.1007/978-1-4614-5690-2_662

M3 - Chapter

SN - 978-1-4614-5689-6

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EP - 276

BT - Encyclopedia of Criminology and Criminal Justice

A2 - Bruinsma, G.J.N.

A2 - Weisburd, D.L.

PB - Springer

CY - Berlin, DE

ER -

Capture-recapture to estimate criminal populations

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