Abstract
BACKGROUND: A high body mass index (BMI, kg/m 2) is associated with decreased risk of breast cancer before menopause, but increased risk after menopause. Exactly when this reversal occurs in relation to menopause is unclear. Locating that change point could provide insight into the role of adiposity in breast cancer etiology.
METHODS: We examined the association between BMI and breast cancer risk in the Premenopausal Breast Cancer Collaborative Group, from age 45 up to breast cancer diagnosis, loss to follow-up, death, or age 55, whichever came first. Analyses included 609,880 women in 16 prospective studies, including 9956 who developed breast cancer before age 55. We fitted three BMI hazard ratio (HR) models over age-time: constant, linear, or nonlinear (via splines), applying piecewise exponential additive mixed models, with age as the primary time scale. We divided person-time into four strata: premenopause; postmenopause due to natural menopause; postmenopause because of interventional loss of ovarian function (bilateral oophorectomy (BO) or chemotherapy); postmenopause due to hysterectomy without BO. Sensitivity analyses included stratifying by BMI in young adulthood, or excluding women using menopausal hormone therapy.
RESULTS: The constant BMI HR model provided the best fit for all four menopausal status groups. Under this model, the estimated association between a five-unit increment in BMI and breast cancer risk was HR=0.87 (95% CI: 0.85, 0.89) before menopause, HR=1.00 (95% CI: 0.96, 1.04) after natural menopause, HR=0.99 (95% CI: 0.93, 1.05) after interventional loss of ovarian function, and HR=0.88 (95% CI: 0.76, 1.02) after hysterectomy without BO.
CONCLUSION: The BMI breast cancer HRs remained less than or near one during the 45-55 year age range indicating that the transition to a positive association between BMI and risk occurs after age 55.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 102545 |
| Number of pages | 8 |
| Journal | Cancer Epidemiology |
| Volume | 89 |
| Early online date | 19 Feb 2024 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - Apr 2024 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:© 2024
Funding
We would like to thank Dr. Shanshan Zhao and Dr. Christine R. Langton for their critical review of the manuscript. The authors would like to acknowledge the contribution to this study from central cancer registries supported through the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Program of Cancer Registries (NPCR) and/or the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program. Central registries may also be supported by state agencies, universities, and cancer centers. Participating central cancer registries include the following: AL, AR, AZ, CA, CO, CT, DE, DC, FL, GA, HI, IA, IL, IN, KY, LA, MD, MA, MI, MO, MS, NE, NJ, NM, NY, NC, OH, OK, OR, PA, SC, TN, TX, VA, WA, WI. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, the National Institutes of Health, the National Cancer Institute, or the state cancer registries. We thank participants and staff of the BWHS for their contributions. This study was supported by the Division of Intramural Research at NIEHS, in the National Institutes of Health, under projects Z01-ES044005 for D.P. Sandler and Z01-ES102245 for C.R. Weinberg. This work was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health. The Black Women's Health Study was supported by NIH grants (No. R01-CA058420 and U01-CA164974). The Sister Study was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the National Institutes of Health, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences (project Z01-ES044005 to DPS) which also partially supported the PMBCCG. The Singapore Chinese Health Study was supported by NIH grants (No. R01-CA144034 and UM1-CA182876). The coordination of EPIC is financially supported by International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) and also by the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London which has additional infrastructure support provided by the NIHR Imperial Biomedical Research Centre (BRC). The national cohorts are supported by: Danish Cancer Society (Denmark); Ligue Contre le Cancer, Institut Gustave Roussy, Mutuelle Générale de l'Education Nationale, Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM) (France); German Cancer Aid, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), German Institute of Human Nutrition Potsdam-Rehbruecke (DIfE), Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) (Germany); Associazione Italiana per la Ricerca sul Cancro-AIRC-Italy, Compagnia di SanPaolo and National Research Council (Italy); Dutch Ministry of Public Health, Welfare and Sports (VWS), Netherlands Cancer Registry (NKR), LK Research Funds, Dutch Prevention Funds, Dutch ZON (Zorg Onderzoek Nederland), World Cancer Research Fund (WCRF), Statistics Netherlands (The Netherlands); Health Research Fund (FIS) - Instituto de Salud Carlos III (ISCIII), Regional Governments of Andalucía, Asturias, Basque Country, Murcia and Navarra, and the Catalan Institute of Oncology - ICO (Spain); Swedish Cancer Society, Swedish Research Council and County Councils of Skåne and Västerbotten (Sweden); Cancer Research UK (14136 to EPIC-Norfolk; C8221/A29017 to EPIC-Oxford), Medical Research Council (1000143 to EPIC-Norfolk; MR/M012190/1 to EPIC-Oxford). (United Kingdom); The Generations Study is supported by Breast Cancer Now and The Institute of Cancer Research, United Kingdom. Thomas E. Rohan is supported in part by the Breast Cancer Research Foundation (BCRF-22-140). This study was supported by the Division of Intramural Research at NIEHS, in the National Institutes of Health , under projects Z01-ES044005 for D.P. Sandler and Z01-ES102245 for C.R. Weinberg. This work was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health. The Black Women’s Health Study was supported by NIH grants (No. R01-CA058420 and U01-CA164974 ). The Sister Study was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the National Institutes of Health, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences (project Z01-ES044005 to DPS) which also partially supported the PMBCCG. The Singapore Chinese Health Study was supported by NIH grants (No. R01-CA144034 and UM1-CA182876 ). The coordination of EPIC is financially supported by International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) and also by the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London which has additional infrastructure support provided by the NIHR Imperial Biomedical Research Centre (BRC). The national cohorts are supported by: Danish Cancer Society (Denmark); Ligue Contre le Cancer, Institut Gustave Roussy, Mutuelle Générale de l’Education Nationale, Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM) (France); German Cancer Aid, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), German Institute of Human Nutrition Potsdam-Rehbruecke (DIfE), Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) (Germany); Associazione Italiana per la Ricerca sul Cancro-AIRC-Italy, Compagnia di SanPaolo and National Research Council (Italy); Dutch Ministry of Public Health, Welfare and Sports (VWS), Netherlands Cancer Registry (NKR), LK Research Funds, Dutch Prevention Funds, Dutch ZON (Zorg Onderzoek Nederland), World Cancer Research Fund (WCRF), Statistics Netherlands (The Netherlands); Health Research Fund (FIS) - Instituto de Salud Carlos III (ISCIII), Regional Governments of Andalucía, Asturias, Basque Country, Murcia and Navarra, and the Catalan Institute of Oncology - ICO (Spain); Swedish Cancer Society, Swedish Research Council and County Councils of Skåne and Västerbotten (Sweden); Cancer Research UK (14136 to EPIC-Norfolk; C8221/A29017 to EPIC-Oxford), Medical Research Council (1000143 to EPIC-Norfolk; MR/M012190/1 to EPIC-Oxford). (United Kingdom); The Generations Study is supported by Breast Cancer Now and The Institute of Cancer Research, United Kingdom . Thomas E. Rohan is supported in part by the Breast Cancer Research Foundation ( BCRF-22-140 ). The authors would like to acknowledge the contribution to this study from central cancer registries supported through the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s National Program of Cancer Registries (NPCR) and/or the National Cancer Institute’s Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program. Central registries may also be supported by state agencies, universities, and cancer centers. Participating central cancer registries include the following: AL, AR, AZ, CA, CO, CT, DE, DC, FL, GA, HI, IA, IL, IN, KY, LA, MD, MA, MI, MO, MS, NE, NJ, NM, NY, NC, OH, OK, OR, PA, SC, TN, TX, VA, WA, WI. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, the National Institutes of Health, the National Cancer Institute, or the state cancer registries. We thank participants and staff of the BWHS for their contributions.
| Funders | Funder number |
|---|---|
| BWHS | |
| Catalan Institute of Oncology - ICO | |
| Compagnia di SanPaolo | |
| County Councils of Skåne | |
| Dutch Prevention Funds | |
| Dutch ZON (Zorg Onderzoek Nederland | |
| FIS | |
| German Institute of Human Nutrition Potsdam-Rehbruecke | |
| Health Research Fund | |
| LK Research Funds | |
| NKR | |
| Netherlands Cancer Registry | |
| National Institutes of Health | R01-CA058420, U01-CA164974 |
| National Institutes of Health | |
| U.S. Department of Health and Human Services | |
| National Cancer Institute | |
| National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences | UM1-CA182876, Z01-ES044005, Z01-ES102245, R01-CA144034 |
| National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences | |
| Cancer Research Institute | |
| Breast Cancer Research Foundation | BCRF-22-140 |
| Breast Cancer Research Foundation | |
| Division of Intramural Research | |
| Kræftens Bekæmpelse | |
| Deutsches Krebsforschungszentrum | |
| Centre International de Recherche sur le Cancer | |
| National Research Council | |
| University of Maryland School of Public Health | |
| Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco | |
| Medical Research Council | MR/M012190/1 |
| Medical Research Council | |
| Cancer Research UK | C8221/A29017 |
| Cancer Research UK | |
| World Cancer Research Fund | |
| Imperial College London | |
| Institut national de la santé et de la recherche médicale | |
| Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung | |
| Cancerfonden | |
| Ministerie van Volksgezondheid, Welzijn en Sport | |
| Ligue Contre le Cancer | |
| Vetenskapsrådet | |
| Instituto de Salud Carlos III | |
| Associazione Italiana per la Ricerca sul Cancro | |
| Deutsche Krebshilfe | |
| Breast Cancer Now | |
| Institut Gustave-Roussy | |
| Mutuelle Générale de l'Education Nationale | |
| Consejería de Salud y Familias, Junta de Andalucía | |
| NIHR Imperial Biomedical Research Centre |