TY - JOUR
T1 - BEYOND 2020-STRATEGIES and COSTS for TRANSFORMING the EUROPEAN ENERGY SYSTEM
AU - Knopf, Brigitte
AU - Chen, Yen Heng Henry
AU - De Cian, Enrica
AU - Förster, Hannah
AU - Kanudia, Amit
AU - Karkatsouli, Ioanna
AU - Keppo, Ilkka
AU - Koljonen, Tiina
AU - Schumacher, Katja
AU - Van Vuuren, Detlef P.
PY - 2013
Y1 - 2013
N2 - The Energy Modeling Forum 28 (EMF28) study systematically explores the energy system transition required to meet the European goal of reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 80% by 2050. The 80% scenario is compared to a reference case that aims to achieve a 40% GHG reduction target. The paper investigates mitigation strategies beyond 2020 and the interplay between different decarbonization options. The models present different technology pathways for the decarbonization of Europe, but a common finding across the scenarios and models is the prominent role of energy efficiency and renewable energy sources. In particular, wind power and bioenergy increase considerably beyond current deployment levels. Up to 2030, the transformation strategies are similar across all models and for both levels of emission reduction. However, mitigation becomes more challenging after 2040. With some exceptions, our analysis agrees with the main findings of the "Energy Roadmap 2050" presented by the European Commission.
AB - The Energy Modeling Forum 28 (EMF28) study systematically explores the energy system transition required to meet the European goal of reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 80% by 2050. The 80% scenario is compared to a reference case that aims to achieve a 40% GHG reduction target. The paper investigates mitigation strategies beyond 2020 and the interplay between different decarbonization options. The models present different technology pathways for the decarbonization of Europe, but a common finding across the scenarios and models is the prominent role of energy efficiency and renewable energy sources. In particular, wind power and bioenergy increase considerably beyond current deployment levels. Up to 2030, the transformation strategies are similar across all models and for both levels of emission reduction. However, mitigation becomes more challenging after 2040. With some exceptions, our analysis agrees with the main findings of the "Energy Roadmap 2050" presented by the European Commission.
KW - climate change
KW - EU Energy Roadmap 2050
KW - European decarbonisation
KW - mitigation scenarios
KW - model comparison
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85073145338&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1142/S2010007813400010
DO - 10.1142/S2010007813400010
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85073145338
SN - 2010-0078
VL - 4
JO - Climate Change Economics
JF - Climate Change Economics
IS - supp01
M1 - 1340001
ER -