TY - JOUR
T1 - Attributable sources of community-acquired carriage of Escherichia coli containing β-lactam antibiotic resistance genes: a population-based modelling study
T2 - a population-based modelling study
AU - ESBL Attribution Consortium
AU - Mughini-Gras, Lapo
AU - Dorado-García, Alejandro
AU - van Duijkeren, Engeline
AU - van den Bunt, Gerrita
AU - Dierikx, Cindy M
AU - Bonten, Marc J M
AU - Bootsma, Martin C J
AU - Schmitt, Heike
AU - Hald, Tine
AU - Evers, Eric G
AU - de Koeijer, Aline
AU - van Pelt, Wilfrid
AU - Franz, Eelco
AU - Mevius, Dik J
AU - Heederik, Dick J J
N1 - Copyright © 2019 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.
PY - 2019/8
Y1 - 2019/8
N2 - BACKGROUND
Extended-spectrum β-lactamase-producing Escherichia coli (ESBL-EC), plasmid-mediated AmpC-producing E coli (pAmpC-EC), and other bacteria are resistant to important β-lactam antibiotics. ESBL-EC and pAmpC-EC are increasingly reported in animals, food, the environment, and community-acquired and health-care-associated human infections. These infections are usually preceded by asymptomatic carriage, for which attributions to animal, food, environmental, and human sources remain unquantified.
METHODS
In this population-based modelling study, we collected ESBL and pAmpC gene data on the Netherlands population for 2005–17 from published datasets of gene occurrences in E coli isolates from different sources, and from partners of the ESBL Attribution Consortium and the Dutch National Antimicrobial Surveillance System. Using these data, we applied an established source attribution model based on ESBL-EC and pAmpC-EC prevalence and gene data for humans, including high-risk populations (ie, returning travellers, clinical patients, farmers), farm and companion animals, food, surface freshwater, and wild birds, and human exposure data, to quantify the overall and gene-specific attributable sources of community-acquired ESBL-EC and pAmpC-EC intestinal carriage. We also used a simple transmission model to determine the basic reproduction number (R0) in the open community.
FINDINGS
We identified 1220 occurrences of ESBL-EC and pAmpC-EC genes in humans, of which 478 were in clinical patients, 454 were from asymptomatic carriers in the open community, 103 were in poultry and pig farmers, and 185 were in people who had travelled out of the region. We also identified 6275 occurrences in non-human sources, including 479 in companion animals, 4026 in farm animals, 66 in wild birds, 1430 from food products, and 274 from surface freshwater. Most community-acquired ESBL-EC and pAmpC-EC carriage was attributed to human-to-human transmission within or between households in the open community (60·1%, 95% credible interval 40·0–73·5), and to secondary transmission from high-risk groups (6·9%, 4·1–9·2). Food accounted for 18·9% (7·0–38·3) of carriage, companion animals for 7·9% (1·4–19·9), farm animals (non-occupational contact) for 3·6% (0·6–9·9), and swimming in freshwater and wild birds (ie, environmental contact) for 2·6% (0·2–8·7). We derived an R0 of 0·63 (95% CI 0·42–0·77) for intracommunity transmission.
INTERPRETATION
Although humans are the main source of community-acquired ESBL-EC and pAmpC-EC carriage, the attributable non-human sources underpin the need for longitudinal studies and continuous monitoring, because intracommunity ESBL-EC and pAmpC-EC spread alone is unlikely to be self-maintaining without transmission to and from non-human sources.
FUNDING
1Health4Food, Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs, and the EU's Horizon-2020 through One-Health European Joint Programme.
AB - BACKGROUND
Extended-spectrum β-lactamase-producing Escherichia coli (ESBL-EC), plasmid-mediated AmpC-producing E coli (pAmpC-EC), and other bacteria are resistant to important β-lactam antibiotics. ESBL-EC and pAmpC-EC are increasingly reported in animals, food, the environment, and community-acquired and health-care-associated human infections. These infections are usually preceded by asymptomatic carriage, for which attributions to animal, food, environmental, and human sources remain unquantified.
METHODS
In this population-based modelling study, we collected ESBL and pAmpC gene data on the Netherlands population for 2005–17 from published datasets of gene occurrences in E coli isolates from different sources, and from partners of the ESBL Attribution Consortium and the Dutch National Antimicrobial Surveillance System. Using these data, we applied an established source attribution model based on ESBL-EC and pAmpC-EC prevalence and gene data for humans, including high-risk populations (ie, returning travellers, clinical patients, farmers), farm and companion animals, food, surface freshwater, and wild birds, and human exposure data, to quantify the overall and gene-specific attributable sources of community-acquired ESBL-EC and pAmpC-EC intestinal carriage. We also used a simple transmission model to determine the basic reproduction number (R0) in the open community.
FINDINGS
We identified 1220 occurrences of ESBL-EC and pAmpC-EC genes in humans, of which 478 were in clinical patients, 454 were from asymptomatic carriers in the open community, 103 were in poultry and pig farmers, and 185 were in people who had travelled out of the region. We also identified 6275 occurrences in non-human sources, including 479 in companion animals, 4026 in farm animals, 66 in wild birds, 1430 from food products, and 274 from surface freshwater. Most community-acquired ESBL-EC and pAmpC-EC carriage was attributed to human-to-human transmission within or between households in the open community (60·1%, 95% credible interval 40·0–73·5), and to secondary transmission from high-risk groups (6·9%, 4·1–9·2). Food accounted for 18·9% (7·0–38·3) of carriage, companion animals for 7·9% (1·4–19·9), farm animals (non-occupational contact) for 3·6% (0·6–9·9), and swimming in freshwater and wild birds (ie, environmental contact) for 2·6% (0·2–8·7). We derived an R0 of 0·63 (95% CI 0·42–0·77) for intracommunity transmission.
INTERPRETATION
Although humans are the main source of community-acquired ESBL-EC and pAmpC-EC carriage, the attributable non-human sources underpin the need for longitudinal studies and continuous monitoring, because intracommunity ESBL-EC and pAmpC-EC spread alone is unlikely to be self-maintaining without transmission to and from non-human sources.
FUNDING
1Health4Food, Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs, and the EU's Horizon-2020 through One-Health European Joint Programme.
KW - Bacterial Proteins/analysis
KW - Community-Acquired Infections/epidemiology
KW - Escherichia coli/drug effects
KW - Escherichia coli Infections/epidemiology
KW - Intestines/microbiology
KW - Models, Theoretical
KW - Netherlands/epidemiology
KW - Prevalence
KW - beta-Lactam Resistance/genetics
KW - beta-Lactamases/analysis
U2 - 10.1016/s2542-5196(19)30130-5
DO - 10.1016/s2542-5196(19)30130-5
M3 - Article
C2 - 31439317
SN - 2542-5196
VL - 3
SP - e357-e369
JO - The Lancet Planetary Health
JF - The Lancet Planetary Health
IS - 8
ER -