Assessment of sectoral greenhouse gas emission reduction potentials for 2030

Kornelis Blok*, Angélica Afanador, Irina Van Der Hoorn, Tom Berg, Oreane Y. Edelenbosch, Detlef P. Van Vuuren

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

The aim of this article is to provide an overview of greenhouse gas emission reduction potentials for 2030 based on the assessment of detailed sectoral studies. The overview updates a previous assessment that dates back more than ten years. We find a total emission reduction potential of 30-36 GtCO2e compared to a current-policies baseline of 61 GtCO2e. The energy production and conversion sector is responsible for about one third of this potential and the agriculture, buildings, forestry, industry, and transport sectors all contribute substantially to the total potential. The potential for 2030 is enough to bridge the gap towards emissions pathways that are compatible with a maximum global temperature rise of 1.5-2 °C compared to preindustrial levels.

Original languageEnglish
Article numberen13040943
Number of pages24
JournalEnergies
Volume13
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 20 Feb 2020

Funding

Funding: This research was funded by the Finnish Innovation Fund Sitra; by the Ministry of Infrastructure, Public Works, and Water Management of the Netherlands; and by UN Environment. Acknowledgments: The authors wish to thank the funders for financially supporting this research. They want to thank Hans Joosten, Pete Smith, Saran Sohi, and Paul Waide for providing critical information for this work. We also wish to thank these persons and Ann Gardiner, Danny Harvey, Lynn Price, Roberto Schaefer, and Oras Tynkkynnen for providing comments to an earlier version of this article.

Keywords

  • Bottom-up analysis
  • Emission reduction potential
  • Emissions gap
  • Energy production and conversion
  • Sectoral analysis

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