TY - JOUR
T1 - A road map for explorative scenario creation on belgian rail freight transport development
AU - Troch, Frank
AU - Vanelslander, Thierry
AU - Sys, Christa
AU - Laroche, Florent
AU - Merchan, Angel
AU - Mostert, Martine
AU - Stevens, Vidar
AU - Tawfik, Christine
AU - Belboom, Sandra
AU - Léonard, Angélique
AU - Limbourg, Sabine
AU - Verhoest, Koen
PY - 2017
Y1 - 2017
N2 - The starting point of this article is the weak usage of rail freight in Belgium and Europe, both as a sustainable mode of land transportation in itself as well as a part of the intermodal chain. The results are obtained by transversal research on rail freight transport in Belgium, taking into account the European context. This interdisciplinary research develops a road map for the creation of three integrated scenarios: a best case, medium case and worst case scenario for rail freight development, based on a detailed SWOT (strength, weakness, opportunities, threats) analysis. It includes the most probable future developments for rail freight transport and hinterland connections. These developments are obtained from literature review and discussions with a heterogeneous panel of experts in the fields of (i) optimal corridor and hub development, (ii) macroeconomic impact, (iii) sustainability, (iv) effective market regulation and (v) governance and organization for a well-functioning intermodality. The Delphi approach is used in combination with a survey analysis. Frequency tables and the H-index allow defining a ranking and selection of SWOT elements. The obtained scenarios allow future research to quantify and measure the impact of future developments and decisions towards the Belgian rail freight market.
AB - The starting point of this article is the weak usage of rail freight in Belgium and Europe, both as a sustainable mode of land transportation in itself as well as a part of the intermodal chain. The results are obtained by transversal research on rail freight transport in Belgium, taking into account the European context. This interdisciplinary research develops a road map for the creation of three integrated scenarios: a best case, medium case and worst case scenario for rail freight development, based on a detailed SWOT (strength, weakness, opportunities, threats) analysis. It includes the most probable future developments for rail freight transport and hinterland connections. These developments are obtained from literature review and discussions with a heterogeneous panel of experts in the fields of (i) optimal corridor and hub development, (ii) macroeconomic impact, (iii) sustainability, (iv) effective market regulation and (v) governance and organization for a well-functioning intermodality. The Delphi approach is used in combination with a survey analysis. Frequency tables and the H-index allow defining a ranking and selection of SWOT elements. The obtained scenarios allow future research to quantify and measure the impact of future developments and decisions towards the Belgian rail freight market.
KW - Delphi technique
KW - Intermodal
KW - Rail freight
KW - SWOT analysis
KW - Scenario analysis
KW - Survey
UR - https://www.mendeley.com/catalogue/78ebe401-3861-3bd6-84e3-3b9bcc13c12e/
U2 - 10.1177/1783591717734792
DO - 10.1177/1783591717734792
M3 - Article
SN - 1783-5917
VL - 18
SP - 3
EP - 21
JO - Competition and Regulation in Network Industries
JF - Competition and Regulation in Network Industries
IS - 1-2
ER -