Abstract
In April 2017, a sequence of earthquakes offshore Valparaíso, Chile, raised concerns of a potential megathrust earthquake in the near future. The largest event in the 2017 sequence was a M6.9 on 24 April, seemingly colocated with the last great-sized earthquake in the region—a M8.0 in March 1985. The history of large earthquakes in this region shows significant variation in rupture size and extent, typically highlighted by a juxtaposition of large ruptures interspersed with smaller magnitude sequences. We show that the 2017 sequence ruptured an area between the two main slip patches during the 1985 earthquake, rerupturing a patch that had previously slipped during the October 1973 M6.5 earthquake sequence. A significant gap in historic ruptures exists directly to the south of the 2017 sequence, with large enough moment deficit to host a great-sized earthquake in the near future, if it is locked.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 8865-8872 |
| Number of pages | 8 |
| Journal | Geophysical Research Letters |
| Volume | 44 |
| Issue number | 17 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 16 Sept 2017 |
Keywords
- coulomb stress
- finite fault models
- moment accumulation
- relocation
- subduction zones
- Valparaíso earthquake